Grandview, Missouri 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Grandview MO
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Grandview MO
Issued by: National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO |
Updated: 2:42 pm CDT Jun 26, 2025 |
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This Afternoon
 Sunny
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Tonight
 Heavy Rain
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Friday
 Chance T-storms
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Friday Night
 Partly Cloudy
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Saturday
 Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance T-storms
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Saturday Night
 Partly Cloudy then Slight Chance T-storms
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Sunday
 Chance T-storms
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Sunday Night
 Chance T-storms then Showers Likely
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Monday
 Chance T-storms
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Hi 91 °F |
Lo 71 °F |
Hi 88 °F |
Lo 72 °F |
Hi 91 °F |
Lo 74 °F |
Hi 91 °F |
Lo 71 °F |
Hi 86 °F |
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Hazardous Weather Outlook
Flood Watch
This Afternoon
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Sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 96. South wind around 10 mph. |
Tonight
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 1am and 3am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. South southwest wind 7 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible. |
Friday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 10am. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Southwest wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Friday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. South wind around 6 mph. |
Saturday
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A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. South southwest wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Saturday Night
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A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Sunday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10am, then a chance of showers between 10am and 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 40%. |
Sunday Night
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 70%. |
Monday
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A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 40%. |
Monday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. |
Tuesday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. |
Tuesday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 66. |
Wednesday
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Sunny, with a high near 88. |
Wednesday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 68. |
Thursday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Grandview MO.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
933
FXUS63 KEAX 262021
AFDEAX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
321 PM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Strong to severe storms capable of producing damaging wind
gusts will be possible this afternoon and evening across NE
Kansas and NW Missouri.
- Locally moderate to heavy rainfall possible this evening into
late tonight.
- Hot and humid conditions continue through Sunday.
- Showers and storms likely for Sunday evening/night.
- Temperatures should cool a bit down toward seasonal normals
(upper 80s) for Monday and Tuesday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 225 PM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025
Water vapor and 500 mb height analysis shows a shortwave trough
moving eastward across the Upper Midwest. Meanwhile, a weak
surface cold front is moving eastward across parts of eastern NE
and northeast KS, with a surface low moving into southern MN.
With strong surface heating and dew points in the lower 70s, a
corridor of 4000-4500 J/kg of surface based CAPE has developed
across far NW Missouri and NE Kansas this afternoon. Isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms have already initiated
across this area out ahead of the front, with these storms
moving to the east northeast. While shear is weak (only around
15 knots of 0-6 km bulk shear), steep low level lapse rates and
DCAPE on the order of 1000 J/kg should support a damaging wind
threat this afternoon and early evening. As such, a severe
thunderstorm watch is in effect through 9 PM tonight for
portions of extreme NE Kansas into NW and northern Missouri. By
later this evening, a cluster or line/broken line of storms is
likely to develop along/near the front across far NW Missouri,
and move to the southeast through the late evening hours into
the early overnight hours. The main concern with this secondary
convective development will likely be the threat for moderate to
heavy rainfall, as PWATs are forecast to reach close to 2". The
12z HREF had probability matched means on the order of 1.5" to
2.5" across a decent swath of the CWA, with localized rainfall
amounts up to 4". Biggest concerns will be moderate/heavy
rainfall over the areas that received the 5+ inches of rain from
Monday night into Tuesday evening, as well as across the Kansas
City metro. Due to these reasons, went ahead and issued a flood
watch from 5 pm this afternoon through 3 am Friday morning for
much of the CWA as a precaution.
Hot and humid conditions continue tomorrow for most locations
(likely slightly cooler across northern and NE Missouri behind
the front), with afternoon heat indices in the mid to upper 90s.
A few afternoon showers and storms may be possible again,
primarily south of Interstate 70. The 18z HRRR does suggest the
potential for robust convection to fire along a remnant outflow
boundary or differential heating boundary by early to mid
tomorrow afternoon across the KC metro, with wind gusts up to
40 mph and moderate rainfall possible, but we will see how
things evolve tonight into tomorrow morning. Hot and humid again
on Saturday, with afternoon heat indices in the upper 90s to
near 100 degrees (best chance for 100+ degree heat index across
NW Missouri). While current grids show only slight chance
afternoon PoPs toward the Ozarks, some guidance (namely the
ECMWF) suggests higher precipitation chances.
Better chances for showers and storms, including some locally
moderate rainfall, arrives on Sunday evening/night as a low
amplitude trough moves across the northern Plains, amplifying as
it moves toward the Great Lakes, and sending a cold front toward
and through our CWA from the northwest. The front may stall out
across southern portions of the region as we head into Monday,
keeping rain chances in the forecast through Monday afternoon.
Cooler temperatures will come behind the front, with highs back
down toward seasonal normals (upper 80s) for Monday and Tuesday
afternoon.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1251 PM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025
Currently VFR at all terminals with breezy SSW winds with gusts
up to 25 knots. These conditions should continue through the
afternoon hours. A cluster of thunderstorms is likely to develop
by late afternoon across NW Missouri, moving through STJ
between roughly 1z and 4z tonight, MCI between 3z and 6z, and
MKC and IXD between 4z and 7z. These storms could produce a few
strong wind gusts up to around 50 to 55 mph, especially at STJ.
Rainfall could be moderate to heavy at times, with VIS dropping
to as low as 2SM or so. After the storms exit by late tonight,
VFR conditions and dry weather is expected for the remainder of
the period, with relatively light southwesterly winds.
&&
.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flood Watch through late tonight for MOZ001>007-011>016-
020>024-028>031-037-038-043.
KS...Flood Watch through late tonight for KSZ025-057-102>105.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...BMW
AVIATION...BMW
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